Based on Primary performanc-Trump

[Radicalneo]

Haley percentage number, but also where specifically she did well And Biden did well relative to expectations.

[DaleCooper]

Pennsylvania for sure. In fact, I strongly suspect Trump will lose that one regardless of what happens in November. It may even be the last swing state to fall in the event that he wins.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Pennsylvania for sure. In fact, I strongly suspect Trump will lose that one regardless of what happens in November. It may even be the last swing state to fall in the event that he wins.

I agree.  I think the Philly suburbs are going to be brutal.

[Tekken_Guy]

Pennsylvania for sure. In fact, I strongly suspect Trump will lose that one regardless of what happens in November. It may even be the last swing state to fall in the event that he wins.

I agree.  I think the Philly suburbs are going to be brutal.

I think so will WOW and the Detroit suburbs.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Pennsylvania for sure. In fact, I strongly suspect Trump will lose that one regardless of what happens in November. It may even be the last swing state to fall in the event that he wins.

I agree.  I think the Philly suburbs are going to be brutal.

I think so will WOW and the Detroit suburbs.

Yeah, but I think there's still more room to fall in the MI and WI rurals more so than the PA rurals.

[Tekken_Guy]

Pennsylvania for sure. In fact, I strongly suspect Trump will lose that one regardless of what happens in November. It may even be the last swing state to fall in the event that he wins.

I agree.  I think the Philly suburbs are going to be brutal.

I think so will WOW and the Detroit suburbs.

Yeah, but I think there's still more room to fall in the PA and WI rurals more so than the PA rurals.

I doubt Biden will do that much worse in the rurals than he did in 2020. It’s like expecting Georgia to be out of reach for Trump because the suburbs have a lot of room to go left.

[Radicalneo]

Pennsylvania for sure. In fact, I strongly suspect Trump will lose that one regardless of what happens in November. It may even be the last swing state to fall in the event that he wins.

I agree.  I think the Philly suburbs are going to be brutal.

I think so will WOW and the Detroit suburbs.

Yeah, but I think there's still more room to fall in the PA and WI rurals more so than the PA rurals.

I doubt Biden will do that much worse in the rurals than he did in 2020. It’s like expecting Georgia to be out of reach for Trump because the suburbs have a lot of room to go left.

I think Biden does worse in places like Luzerne.

[2016]

I think all the Haley Voters will come home. Biden had a chance to reach out to them after March 5 but his bad rhetoric during the SOTU and his consistent flip flops on Israel have negated that.

The Mass Exodus Democrats had hoped after the Primary away from Trump did not happen.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I think all the Haley Voters will come home. Biden had a chance to reach out to them after March 5 but his bad rhetoric during the SOTU and his consistent flip flops on Israel have negated that.

The Mass Exodus Democrats had hoped after the Primary away from Trump did not happen.

How do we know that yet?

[Radicalneo]

I think all the Haley Voters will come home. Biden had a chance to reach out to them after March 5 but his bad rhetoric during the SOTU and his consistent flip flops on Israel have negated that.

The Mass Exodus Democrats had hoped after the Primary away from Trump did not happen.

This is true.