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Source: Siena Research Institute (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DClintonDemocratic46%piePoll Date: 2016-10-23
RTrumpRepublican39%Number Polled: 792
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Other-8%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-5%

Clinton up seven

 By: Ryne (R-WA) on 2016-10-25 @ 10:10:43

Question:
If the election was today, who would you vote for?

About this Poll
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College survey was conducted October 20-23, 2016 by telephone calls to 792 likely voters. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on both their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior applied to their specific voting history. This probability to vote was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party registration, age, region, gender and race. This poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The Siena College Research Institute, directed by Donald Levy, Ph.D., conducts political, economic, social and cultural research primarily in NYS. SRI, an independent, non-partisan research institute, subscribes to the American Association of Public Opinion Research Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. For more information, please call Don Levy at 518-783-2901. Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at: www.Siena.edu/SRI/SNY. This collaboration between New York Times Upshot and the Siena College Research Institute is dedicated to transparency and welcomes any requests for data as well as discussion of methodology.

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