Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2024-05-13 Version:1

Prediction Map

colin Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

colin Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	19
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	15
Ind	2
Tos	4
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	11	2	13	-7
Rep	+5	+3	+8	0	0	0	9	2	11	+8
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	0	13
Republican	19	0	19
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis

Again, in a truly free and fair election. Will no doubt update as the season unfolds.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						257
2022 Senate	28/35	21/35	49/70	70.0%		4	6	271	T	305
2022 Governor	26/36	17/36	43/72	59.7%		5	6	260	T	272
2020 President	47/56	26/56	73/112	65.2%		5	10	667		684
2020 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		2	8	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		2	10	147	T	293
2016 President	52/56	35/56	87/112	77.7%		9	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	18/34	48/68	70.6%		4	1	164	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	8/12	19/24	79.2%		2	1	1	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		18	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%		12	1	15	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		1	228	138	T	153
2012 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%		28	1	367	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%		11	1	94	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		3	48	131	T	228
2010 Senate	31/37	22/37	53/74	71.6%		42	0	167	T	456
2010 Governor	31/37	24/37	55/74	74.3%		23	0	118	T	312
2008 President	49/56	44/56	93/112	83.0%		16	2	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%		2	3	281	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		2	3	212	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	25/33	13/33	38/66	57.6%		1	1	402	T	465
2006 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%		1	1	232	T	312
2004 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%		3	1	283	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	654/748	432/748	1086/1496	72.6%

User Info

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Links

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