Question:
In a 2024 hypothetical presidential match-up between Biden and Trump, Biden leads 47% to 42%, while 12% are undecided. Trump voters were asked if they would still vote for Trump if he is convicted in a criminal trial: 80% still will support him, 5% will not, and 15% are unsure. In a matchup between Biden, Trump, Robert Kennedy Jr., and Cornel West, the race appears to tighten with 40% supporting Biden, 37% supporting Trump, 8% supporting Kennedy Jr., and 1% supporting West. Fourteen percent are undecided.

About this Poll
The Emerson College Polling/WHDH New Hampshire survey was conducted November 10-13, 2023. The sample of registered voters, n=917, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3.3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, age, party registration, and region based on 2024 registration modeling. Modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters and New Hampshire voter registration and election data.

It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and understand with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.

Data was collected by contacting an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines (n=313), an online panel of voters (n=462), and a consumer list of emails (n=142).

All questions asked in this survey with exact wording, along with full results and cross tabulations can be found here. This survey was sponsored by WHDH.