Election 2018 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		18 \|	35 \|
Dem	15
Rep	11
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non:	5

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Toss			Net Gain
	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot
Dem	+6	0	+6	-1	0	-1	8	1	9	0	0	0	+5
Rep	+1	0	+1	-6	0	-6	8	2	10	3	1	4	-5
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
GA	D +1	47%	48%	2%	3%	2	1	0	0	R - I	Tossup
MT	R +1	48%	47%	0%	5%	2	1	0	0	R - I	Tossup
SC	R +2	47%	45%	2%	5%	0	2	0	1	R - I	Tossup
IA	D +3	46%	49%	2%	2%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
KS	R +3	47%	44%	4%	6%	0	2	0	1	R - O	Tossup
ME	D +4	43%	47%	7%	3%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
NC	D +4	46%	50%	2%	2%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
TX	R +4	49%	46%	2%	3%	0	3	0	0	R - I	Slight Rep
AK	R +5	46%	0%	41%	13%	0	3	0	0	R - I	Lean Rep
MS	R +5	50%	44%	3%	4%	0	3	0	0	R - I	Lean Rep

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
IA	D +3	46%	49%	2%	2%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
ME	D +4	43%	47%	7%	3%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
NC	D +4	46%	50%	2%	2%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
AZ (S)	D +7	46%	53%	1%	1%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Lean Dem
CO	D +9	44%	53%	1%	3%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Lean Dem
GA (S)	D +9	42%	51%	3%	3%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Lean Dem
AL	R +12	54%	42%	1%	3%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Strong Rep

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
MT	11-02	Change Research	R +4	50%	46%	0%	3%	4%	900 L	8
ME	11-02	Change Research	D +4	42%	46%	9%	2%	4%	1,024 L	6
IA	11-02	Public Policy Polling	D +1	47%	48%	0%	5%	3%	871 L	16
AZ (S)	11-02	Ipsos	D +9	44%	53%	3%	1%	5%	610 L	2
VA	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +15	42%	57%	1%	0%	4%	690 L	3
TX	11-01	Data 4 Progress	R +3	50%	47%	3%	0%	3%	926 L	11
SC	11-01	Data 4 Progress	R +3	49%	46%	4%	1%	3%	880 L	9
NC	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +5	46%	51%	3%	0%	3%	908 L	15
NC	11-01	Change Research	D +4	46%	50%	0%	5%	5%	473 L	7
NC	11-01	Ipsos	D +2	46%	48%	4%	2%	4%	707 L	6
NJ	11-01	Research Consultants	D +23	32%	55%	2%	11%	5%	450 L	8
MS	11-01	Data 4 Progress	R +3	50%	47%	4%	0%	4%	562 L	34
MN	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +10	44%	54%	2%	0%	3%	1,259 L	2
MN	11-01	Research Consultants	D +11	39%	50%	2%	9%	5%	450 L	8
MI	11-01	Change Research	D +5	46%	51%	0%	3%	6%	383 L	7
MI	11-01	Research Consultants	D +15	37%	52%	2%	10%	5%	450 L	8
MI	11-01	Ipsos	D +7	44%	51%	3%	2%	4%	654 L	8
KS	11-01	Data 4 Progress	R +6	51%	45%	4%	1%	3%	1,121 L	31
IA	11-01	Civiqs	D +3	47%	50%	1%	1%	4%	853 L	6
IA	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +4	45%	49%	6%	0%	3%	951 L	18
IA	11-01	Change Research	D +1	47%	48%	2%	2%	3%	1,084 L	2
IL	11-01	Victory Research	D +25	26%	51%	15%	8%	3%	1,208 L	2
IL	11-01	Research Consultants	D +22	30%	52%	4%	14%	5%	450 L	8
GA	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +5	46%	51%	3%	0%	3%	1,036 L	18
GA	11-01	Landmark Communications	R +2	49%	47%	3%	1%	4%	500 L	7
CO	11-01	KOM	D +11	42%	53%	0%	5%	4%	502 L	3
CO	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +9	45%	54%	2%	0%	4%	709 L	3
AZ (S)	11-01	Data 4 Progress	D +8	46%	54%	0%	0%	3%	1,195 L	2
AZ (S)	11-01	Change Research	D +4	47%	51%	0%	2%	6%	409 L	7
AZ (S)	11-01	Marist College	D +7	45%	52%	1%	2%	4%	988 R	7
AL	11-01	Data 4 Progress	R +12	56%	44%	0%	0%	3%	1,045 L	8
TX	10-31	Morning Consult	R +4	47%	43%	0%	10%	2%	3,267 L	13
TX	10-31	Emerson College	R +4	51%	47%	2%	0%	4%	763 L	8
SC	10-31	Morning Consult	R +2	46%	44%	0%	10%	3%	904 L	13
NC	10-31	Morning Consult	D +4	43%	47%	0%	10%	2%	1,982 L	13
NC	10-31	Emerson College	D +4	47%	51%	2%	0%	3%	855 L	8
NC	10-31	Other Source	D +4	46%	50%	5%	0%	4%	676 L	3
MI	10-31	Morning Consult	D +6	43%	49%	0%	8%	2%	1,736 L	13
MI	10-31	Emerson College	D +5	45%	50%	2%	2%	3%	700 L	28
ME	10-31	Emerson College	D +6	42%	48%	7%	4%	4%	611 L	23
KY	10-31	Morning Consult	R +11	51%	40%	0%	9%	3%	911 L	13
IA	10-31	Emerson College	D +4	44%	48%	2%	6%	4%	604 L	28
GA	10-31	Morning Consult	D +1	46%	47%	0%	7%	2%	1,743 L	13
GA	10-31	Emerson College	D +1	48%	49%	4%	0%	4%	749 L	8
CO	10-31	Morning Consult	D +8	44%	52%	0%	4%	4%	727 L	13
AZ (S)	10-31	Morning Consult	D +4	44%	48%	0%	8%	3%	1,059 L	13
AZ (S)	10-31	Emerson College	D +2	48%	50%	2%	0%	4%	732 L	2
AL	10-31	Morning Consult	R +12	51%	39%	0%	10%	3%	850 L	13
NC	10-30	CNN/ORC	D +3	44%	47%	4%	3%	4%	901 L	12
MN	10-30	Targoz Strategic Marketing	D +9	44%	53%	0%	3%	4%	1,138 L	2

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