Election 2020 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2020-11-01 Version:1

Prediction Map

BaconKing Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

BaconKing Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	23
Rep	12
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	9
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+11	+1	+12	-1	0	-1	10	1	11	+11
Rep	+1	0	+1	-11	-1	-12	9	2	11	-11
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (117th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	23	33	56
Republican	12	30	42
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
43	27	16

Analysis

here is my delusionally optimistic take

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	51/56	24/56	75/112	67.0%		2	6	659	T	684
2020 Senate	27/35	16/35	43/70	61.4%		1	5	405	T	423
2018 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		1	6	246	T	483
2018 Governor	28/36	20/36	48/72	66.7%		1	8	260	T	372
2016 President	46/56	21/56	67/112	59.8%		3	3	597	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	14/34	44/68	64.7%		3	3	302	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	6/12	14/24	58.3%		2	3	67	T	279
2014 Senate	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		5	0	261	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%		2	0	73	T	300
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		1	4	182	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	22/33	53/66	80.3%		2	4	56	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	4	51	T	228
2010 Senate	29/37	13/37	42/74	56.8%		1	216	359	T	456
2008 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		2	22	276	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	459/529	275/529	734/1058	69.4%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2020 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved