Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2023-12-05 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	11
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	15	5	20	+1
Rep	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	2	11	0
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	0	21
Republican	11	0	11
Independent	2	0	2

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					253
2023 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	1	280	99	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%	3	43	255	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%	2	325	216	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	80	48	T	118
2020 President	50/56	37/56	87/112	77.7%	3	492	502	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%	1	368	241	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	1	370	249	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	3	125	104	T	192
2018 Senate	29/35	17/35	46/70	65.7%	2	130	362	T	483
2018 Governor	26/36	13/36	39/72	54.2%	1	353	351	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%	1	116	138	T	149
2016 President	49/56	29/56	78/112	69.6%	2	542	325	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	19/34	51/68	75.0%	1	543	60	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	3/12	11/24	45.8%	1	543	223	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	2	273	72	T	112
2014 Senate	27/36	11/36	38/72	52.8%	2	184	351	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	14/36	43/72	59.7%	1	599	192	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%	1	235	138	T	153
2012 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%	3	473	314	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	10/33	39/66	59.1%	1	268	268	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%	2	268	196	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	26/52	7/52	33/104	31.7%	5	-	141	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%	3	243	37	T	106
2010 Senate	30/37	14/37	44/74	59.5%	4	98	321	T	456
2010 Governor	20/37	10/37	30/74	40.5%	2	357	292	T	312
2009 Governor	0/2	0/2	0/4	0.0%	1	138	101	T	103
2008 President	46/56	24/56	70/112	62.5%	4	372	958	T	1,505
2008 Senate	25/33	10/33	35/66	53.0%	1	362	386	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	1	362	183	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	25/52	9/52	34/104	32.7%	4	-	134	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	11/49	3/49	14/98	14.3%	1	-	191	T	235
2007 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	3	8	155	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	26/33	8/33	34/66	51.5%	3	7	437	T	465
2006 Governor	28/36	9/36	37/72	51.4%	6	199	279	T	312
2004 President	53/56	35/56	88/112	78.6%	15	15	359	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	759/994	402/994	1161/1988	58.4%