Election 2024 Senate Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		18 \|	34 \|
Dem	12
Rep	10
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non:	9

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Toss			Net Gain
	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	10	1	11	2	1	3	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	8	1	9	0	0	0	+1
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
MT	Tie	41%	41%	3%	17%	1	1	0	0	D - I	Tossup
MI	D +1	38%	39%	0%	23%	1	0	0	0	D - O	Tossup
WI	D +2	43%	44%	0%	14%	1	1	0	0	D - I	Tossup
AZ	D +4	37%	40%	15%	8%	3	0	0	0	I - I	Slight Dem
NV	D +5	40%	45%	5%	10%	1	0	0	0	D - I	Lean Dem

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
AZ	D +4	37%	40%	15%	8%	3	0	0	0	I - I	Slight Dem

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
FL	04-17	Florida Atlantic University	R +17	53%	36%	4%	8%	3%	815 L
MD	04-11	Other Source	R +13	53%	40%	0%	7%	4%	1,300 L
NJ	04-08	Fairleigh Dickinson University	D +6	39%	45%	7%	9%	4%	809 R
FL	04-07	Ipsos	R +10	36%	26%	5%	33%	4%	1,014 L
CA	03-25	Public Policy Institute of CA	D +24	37%	61%	0%	2%	3%	1,089 L
WA	03-21	Echelon Insights	D +9	36%	45%	0%	19%	5%	600 R
AZ	03-15	Emerson College	D +2	49%	51%	0%	0%	3%	1,000 L
OH	03-13	Florida Atlantic University	D +11	36%	47%	6%	10%	3%	818 L
MD	03-12	Washington Post	R +12	49%	37%	0%	14%	3%	1,004 R
OH	03-11	OH Northern Univ.	D +6	37%	43%	0%	20%	3%	1,241 L
OH	03-11	ECU	D +4	41%	45%	3%	12%	3%	1,298 L
WI	02-24	Emerson College	D +7	39%	46%	0%	15%	3%	1,000 L
AZ	02-19	Emerson College	D +6	30%	36%	21%	13%	3%	1,000 L
MI	02-18	EPIC/MRA	D +1	38%	39%	0%	23%	4%	600 L
MD	02-13	Emerson College	Tie	42%	42%	0%	16%	3%	1,000 L
AZ	02-13	Other Source	D +3	31%	34%	23%	12%	3%	1,002 R
MD	02-01	Other Source	R +16	49%	33%	0%	18%	4%	600 L
AZ	02-01	Other Source	R +1	40%	39%	13%	8%	4%	500 L
MN	01-29	Survey USA	D +16	33%	49%	4%	15%	3%	1,594 L
OH	01-25	Emerson College	D +2	37%	39%	0%	24%	2%	1,844 R
PA	01-08	Quinnipiac University	D +10	43%	53%	0%	4%	2%	1,680 L
TX	12-10	YouGov	R +16	43%	27%	15%	15%	2%	1,200 R
TN	12-02	Vanderbilt Poll	R +17	53%	36%	0%	11%	3%	1,005 R
PA	11-22	Franklin and Marshall College	D +7	39%	46%	4%	12%	4%	873 L	9
AZ	10-31	Other Source	D +5	33%	38%	29%	0%	3%	1,010 R
NV	10-26	Tarrance Group	D +5	40%	45%	5%	10%	4%	600 L
TN	10-04	Emerson College	R +24	50%	26%	0%	24%	5%	410 R
PA	10-04	Emerson College	D +8	33%	41%	8%	18%	5%	430 L
ND	10-04	Emerson College	R +26	45%	19%	9%	28%	5%	419 L
MT	10-04	Emerson College	D +4	35%	39%	6%	21%	5%	447 R	44
MO	10-04	Emerson College	R +13	45%	32%	5%	17%	4%	491 R
IN	10-04	Emerson College	R +9	31%	22%	8%	39%	4%	509 R	13
MT	08-17	Other Source	R +4	46%	42%	0%	12%	4%	741 L
WI	05-25	Fabrizio, Lee and Associates	R +4	46%	42%	0%	12%	4%	500 L
AZ	02-09	OH Predictive Insights	D +8	26%	34%	19%	21%	3%	1,000 L
WY	01-01	Other Source	R +37	67%	30%	3%	0%	0%	203,420 L
RI	01-01	Other Source	D +23	38%	61%	1%	0%	0%	376,738 L
NE	01-01	Other Source	R +19	58%	39%	3%	0%	0%	698,883 L
MS	01-01	Other Source	R +19	58%	39%	3%	0%	0%	936,215 L
MA	01-01	Other Source	D +24	36%	60%	4%	0%	0%	2,707,090 L
HI	01-01	Other Source	D +42	29%	71%	2%	0%	0%	388,351 L
CT	01-01	Other Source	D +20	39%	59%	2%	0%	0%	1,824,456 L

Links

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