Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2024-05-06 Version:6

Prediction Map

PoliticalWatch Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

PoliticalWatch Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	14
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	12
Ind	2
Tos	2
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-2	-1	-3	13	4	17	-2
Rep	+2	+1	+3	0	0	0	9	2	11	+3
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	0	18
Republican	14	0	14
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						251
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	272	1	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	26/35	58/70	82.9%		5	13	97	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	27/36	58/72	80.6%		7	13	104	T	272
2020 President	52/56	46/56	98/112	87.5%		4	16	74	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%		4	112	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	3/11	14/22	63.6%		3	16	264	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	9	130	T	192
Aggregate Predictions	161/179	131/179	292/358	81.6%

User Info

PoliticalWatch Forum Profile

Links

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