Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2024-05-12 Version:1

Prediction Map

Ruby2014 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Ruby2014 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	19
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	12
Ind	2
Tos	9
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-2	-7	10	3	13	-7
Rep	+6	+2	+8	0	0	0	9	2	11	+8
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	0	13
Republican	19	0	19
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						257
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	94	74	T	115
2020 President	47/56	43/56	90/112	80.4%		13	6	392	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	25/35	54/70	77.1%		8	4	101	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		4	146	211	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	4	35	T	192
2018 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		11	0	306	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	20/36	50/72	69.4%		5	3	226	T	372
2016 President	50/56	34/56	84/112	75.0%		11	0	87	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	19/34	50/68	73.5%		10	0	89	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		9	0	67	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	241/281	173/281	414/562	73.7%

User Info

Ruby2014 Forum Profile

Links

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